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No35%
Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22Sep 29
100%75%50%25%0%
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© 2026 Lumina Markets

Skip to main content
Help Center (opens in new tab)

Yes65%
No35%
Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22Sep 29
100%75%50%25%0%
Privacy PolicyYour Privacy ChoicesTerms of UseLegalHelp Centerhello@luminamarkets.com

© 2026 Lumina Markets

Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
Finance

Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

$0 Vol.

Chart

BTC Outperforms Gold4%
Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22Sep 29
100%75%50%25%0%
BitcoinPrecious MetalsCrypto

Outcomes

Y
Yes
$0 Vol.
No
$0 Vol.
N
4%0%
0%96%

Rules

Bitcoin's return is calculated from CF Benchmarks' Cryptocurrency Real-Time Index, averaging the first and last minute of 2026; gold's return is calculated from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's front-month Gold Futures settlement price on the nearest trading days at the start and end of that period. The market resolves Yes if Bitcoin's return exceeds gold's over the period, No otherwise. Any delay in either source's published data delays resolution to match, with the outcome final on January 1, 2027.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

Investors compare Bitcoin's price swings against gold's steadier long-term track record as competing hedges against inflation or market turmoil. This market follows whether Bitcoin's percentage return over 2026 comes out ahead of gold's.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related

Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
Finance

Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

$0 Vol.

Chart

BTC Outperforms Gold4%
Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22Sep 29
100%75%50%25%0%
BitcoinPrecious MetalsCrypto

Outcomes

Y
Yes
$0 Vol.
No
$0 Vol.
N
4%0%
0%96%

Rules

Bitcoin's return is calculated from CF Benchmarks' Cryptocurrency Real-Time Index, averaging the first and last minute of 2026; gold's return is calculated from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's front-month Gold Futures settlement price on the nearest trading days at the start and end of that period. The market resolves Yes if Bitcoin's return exceeds gold's over the period, No otherwise. Any delay in either source's published data delays resolution to match, with the outcome final on January 1, 2027.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

Investors compare Bitcoin's price swings against gold's steadier long-term track record as competing hedges against inflation or market turmoil. This market follows whether Bitcoin's percentage return over 2026 comes out ahead of gold's.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related