The outcome is decided by the percent change in personal income for California for Q4 2026, as published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) in its State Personal Income release, in Table SQINC1, Quarterly Personal Income by State, Percent Change at Annual Rates From Preceding Period. The outcome is Yes if that percent change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise, and early resolution does not apply. The outcome is determined from the value in the release when the BEA publishes it, typically at 7:30 AM CT on the last Friday of the third month after the quarter ends, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

The outcome is decided by the percent change in personal income for California for Q4 2026, as published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) in its State Personal Income release, in Table SQINC1, Quarterly Personal Income by State, Percent Change at Annual Rates From Preceding Period. The outcome is Yes if that percent change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise, and early resolution does not apply. The outcome is determined from the value in the release when the BEA publishes it, typically at 7:30 AM CT on the last Friday of the third month after the quarter ends, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.