Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 30097%
Above 29697%
Above 29296%
Above 30494%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 300
0%97%
Above 296
0%97%
Above 292
0%96%
Above 304
0%94%
Above 288
0%93%
Above 308
0%89%
Above 312
0%65%
Above 316
0%31%
Above 320
0%18%
Above 324
2%10%
Above 328
2%7%
Above 332
0%4%
Rules
The Bureau of Labor Statistics determines the outcome using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), specifically the Dallas, all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The outcome is Yes if the published value is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on December 10, 2026, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution.
About
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks what consumers pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The relevant CPI measure is the unadjusted, all-items CPI for Dallas published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.