Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 29097%
Above 28897%
Above 28297%
Above 28696%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 290
0%97%
Above 288
0%97%
Above 282
0%97%
Above 286
0%96%
Above 284
0%96%
Above 294
0%95%
Above 292
0%95%
Above 296
0%93%
Above 298
0%91%
Above 300
0%91%
Above 302
0%90%
Above 304
0%89%
Above 306
8%85%
Above 308
10%73%
Above 310
4%57%
Above 312
0%30%
Above 280
0%0%
Above 314
0%0%
Above 316
0%0%
Above 318
0%0%
Above 320
0%0%
Rules
The Bureau of Labor Statistics determines the outcome using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), specifically the Detroit, all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The outcome is Yes if the published value is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on January 13, 2027, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution.
About
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks what consumers pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The relevant CPI measure is the unadjusted, all-items CPI for Detroit published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.