Yes65%
No35%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
>3.60%
>3.70%
>3.80%
Above 3.90%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
>3.6
0%0%
>3.7
0%0%
>3.8
0%0%
Above 3.9
0%0%
Above 4
0%0%
Above 4.1
0%0%
Above 4.2
0%0%
Rules
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) publishes the Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update, including the average retail price of regular gasoline for Texas. Using only the report’s initial release, the outcome is Yes if that value exceeds the dollar-per-gallon value specified in the market question, and No otherwise; subsequent revisions do not affect the outcome. The value becomes final on November 3, 2026 when the EIA publishes the report, subject to delays or schedule changes by the EIA and any applicable event review process.
About
Regular gasoline prices represent the average retail price of gasoline in a specified area. The outcome is Yes if Texas’s average retail price of regular gasoline for the week ending November 2, 2026 exceeds the dollar-per-gallon value specified in the market question.