Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Below 5898%
Below 5998%
Below 6098%
Below 6198%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Below 58$156 Vol.
0%98%
Below 59$20 Vol.
4%98%
Below 60$60 Vol.
9%98%
Below 61$20 Vol.
0%98%
Below 57$94 Vol.
35%11%
Below 54$20 Vol.
7%6%
Below 56$60 Vol.
14%3%
Below 55$50 Vol.
14%3%
Below 52$20 Vol.
0%2%
Below 53
0%1%
Below 51
0%0%
Rules
This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated San Francisco station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for September 30, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored.
About
San Francisco's daily temperature low is the lowest air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.