Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 4,5001%
Above 6,0001%
Above 7,5001%
Above 9,0001%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 4,500
0%1%
Above 6,000
0%1%
Above 7,500
0%1%
Above 9,000
0%1%
Above 10,500
0%1%
Above 12,000
0%1%
Above 13,500
0%1%
Above 15,000
0%1%
Above 16,500
0%1%
Above 18,000
0%1%
Above 19,500
0%1%
Rules
The US Census Bureau publishes the deciding data in its Quarterly Summary of State and Local Tax Revenue, using Table 3, State Government Tax Collections by State and Type of Tax. The deciding value is the sales and gross receipts taxes amount for Texas for Q3 2026, and the outcome is Yes if it exceeds the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when the Census Bureau releases that report, with resolution scheduled for 7:30 AM CT on that release, and early resolution does not apply. If the Census Bureau delays the release, resolution waits until it is published.
About
Sales and gross receipts taxes are taxes a state charges on the sale of goods and certain taxable services. The event is the total amount Texas collects from these taxes over a calendar quarter, measured in millions of US dollars.