Skip to main content
Help Center (opens in new tab)

Yes65%
No35%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Privacy PolicyYour Privacy ChoicesTerms of UseLegalHelp Centerhello@luminamarkets.com

© 2026 Lumina Markets

Skip to main content
Help Center (opens in new tab)

Yes65%
No35%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Privacy PolicyYour Privacy ChoicesTerms of UseLegalHelp Centerhello@luminamarkets.com

© 2026 Lumina Markets

US Presidential Election Winner in 2028?
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028?
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028?
Politics•USA

US Presidential Election Winner in 2028?

$0 Vol.

Chart

Marco Rubio18%
JD Vance17%
Gavin Newsom10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Presidential ElectionUs General ElectionPoliticsUs

Outcomes

Marco Rubio
0%18%
JD Vance
0%17%
Gavin Newsom
0%10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
0%10%

Rules

The United States Congress publishes the deciding certification in the Congressional Record, and the value becomes final at 9:00 AM CT on January 8, 2029 when that record is published, subject to any delay or review permitted by the contract terms. The outcome is assigned to the candidate whose electoral-vote total meets the value specified in the market question; the contract may resolve earlier if The Associated Press, The New York Times, and The Wall Street Journal have all formally called the race for the same candidate and no recount, legal challenge, or other official proceeding could reasonably affect the result. If a candidate withdraws, fails to file, or is otherwise confirmed as no longer seeking the office at least 14 days before the election, the candidate's contract may resolve to No.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

The US President is chosen through a national election in which voters determine the Electoral College electors. The outcome is the candidate who is certified by Congress as having won the required electoral-vote majority in 2028.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related

US Presidential Election Winner in 2028?
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028?
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028?
Politics•USA

US Presidential Election Winner in 2028?

$0 Vol.

Chart

Marco Rubio18%
JD Vance17%
Gavin Newsom10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Presidential ElectionUs General ElectionPoliticsUs

Outcomes

Marco Rubio
0%18%
JD Vance
0%17%
Gavin Newsom
0%10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
0%10%

Rules

The United States Congress publishes the deciding certification in the Congressional Record, and the value becomes final at 9:00 AM CT on January 8, 2029 when that record is published, subject to any delay or review permitted by the contract terms. The outcome is assigned to the candidate whose electoral-vote total meets the value specified in the market question; the contract may resolve earlier if The Associated Press, The New York Times, and The Wall Street Journal have all formally called the race for the same candidate and no recount, legal challenge, or other official proceeding could reasonably affect the result. If a candidate withdraws, fails to file, or is otherwise confirmed as no longer seeking the office at least 14 days before the election, the candidate's contract may resolve to No.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

The US President is chosen through a national election in which voters determine the Electoral College electors. The outcome is the candidate who is certified by Congress as having won the required electoral-vote majority in 2028.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related