The outcome is decided by the seasonally adjusted monthly sales figure for Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, and Book Stores for September 2026, as published by the US Census Bureau in its Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services release (the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report), in Table 1, Estimated Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services, by Kind of Business, column (a) of the Adjusted section. The outcome is Yes if that figure, in millions of dollars, is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial release counts, and later revisions do not change the outcome. The outcome is determined when the report is released at 7:30 AM CT on its scheduled date, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

The outcome is decided by the seasonally adjusted monthly sales figure for Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, and Book Stores for September 2026, as published by the US Census Bureau in its Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services release (the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report), in Table 1, Estimated Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services, by Kind of Business, column (a) of the Adjusted section. The outcome is Yes if that figure, in millions of dollars, is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial release counts, and later revisions do not change the outcome. The outcome is determined when the report is released at 7:30 AM CT on its scheduled date, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.