Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 32094%
Above 32893%
Above 30689%
Above 31688%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 320
0%94%
Above 328
0%93%
Above 306
0%89%
Above 316
0%88%
Above 310
0%88%
Above 312
0%88%
Above 314
0%88%
Above 318
0%88%
Above 308
0%88%
Above 330
0%86%
Above 322
0%86%
Above 324
0%85%
Above 326
0%85%
Above 332
0%74%
Above 334
0%72%
Above 336
0%66%
Above 338
0%46%
Above 340
0%46%
Above 342
0%28%
Above 344
0%26%
Above 346
0%23%
Above 348
0%20%
Above 350
0%11%
Above 352
0%6%
Above 304
0%0%
Rules
The Bureau of Labor Statistics determines the outcome using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), specifically the Washington, D.C., all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The outcome is Yes if the published value is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on December 10, 2026, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution.
About
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks what consumers pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The relevant CPI measure is the unadjusted, all-items CPI for Washington, D.C. published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.