Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 34997%
Above 33897%
Above 33597%
Above 34796%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 349
0%97%
Above 338
0%97%
Above 335
0%97%
Above 347
0%96%
Above 348
0%96%
Above 346
0%96%
Above 345
0%96%
Above 344
0%96%
Above 343
0%96%
Above 340
0%96%
Above 341
0%96%
Above 342
0%96%
Above 336
0%96%
Above 337
0%96%
Above 339
0%96%
Above 334
0%96%
Above 333
0%96%
Above 350
0%90%
Above 351
0%82%
Above 352
4%72%
Above 353
4%65%
Above 354
0%64%
Above 355
0%59%
Above 356
0%50%
Above 357
0%29%
Above 361
0%15%
Above 362
0%10%
Above 363
0%8%
Above 358
0%0%
Above 359
0%0%
Above 360
0%0%
Above 364
0%0%
Rules
The Bureau of Labor Statistics determines the outcome using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), specifically the Western US, all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The outcome is Yes if the published value is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on January 13, 2027, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution.
About
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks what consumers pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The relevant CPI measure is the unadjusted, all-items CPI for the Western US published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.